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Professors Darke and Greenglass on how post-recession anxiety is getting better of investors

The recognition that emotions such as fear can drive investment choices is a relatively new one. Classical economics long viewed people as hyper-rational. But in the 1960s, a new 铿乪ld called behavioural economics emerged to show that鈥檚 far from the case, reported Dec. 1:

Julie Tyios was already a savvy investor by her mid-20s, when the Great Recession hit. 鈥淚 had played the markets before, and watched my parents live off their stock portfolios,鈥 she says. But the small-business owner wasn鈥檛 prepared for seeing half of her portfolio wiped out in 2008, an experience that was, to say the least, 鈥渧ery upsetting.鈥 Since then, Tyios has avoided the stock market altogether. The fear of losing so much again overshadows the possible joy she may glean from a gain. 鈥淎s much as I would love to invest, the recession did a lot of damage to the market.鈥 And, more than that, it did a lot of damage to the psychology of today鈥檚 investors.

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, a professor of marketing at 91亚色鈥檚 , has been looking at the effects of fraud on investment behaviour, and he鈥檚 found that fraud by one firm induces an irrational suspicion among investors that causes them to lower their investments in other, unrelated firms. In other words, fear spreads fast and can spoil otherwise safe investments in people鈥檚 minds. This negative bias even applies to very well-known and otherwise trusted institutions, like Canadian banks. 鈥淲hile rationally you recognize you can trust the Royal Bank, motivationally you鈥檙e not willing to take a chance,鈥 he says. 鈥淧eople become irrationally suspicious.鈥

Financial fears can also affect more than just stock choices. At 91亚色, , a psychology professor in the , has been conducting an international study that looks at the emotional and psychological effects of the economic downturn. So far, she鈥檚 found that people鈥檚 personalities (their fears and anxieties) impact things like their financial health and even their ability to find a job. 鈥淲e are finding that debt, employability and financial well-being are all related,鈥 she says. 鈥淚f a [person] believes they are not going to get a job in the future, their financial well-being is lower.鈥 Feelings of financial doom are also correlated to higher rates of anxiety and depression.

These findings reinforce the view of behavioural economists that 鈥渢he way people approach the economy is not rational. Emotional factors influence how we react to the economic situation and to our own 铿乶ances,鈥 Greenglass says.

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